CYCLESCOPE · VALUATION
Pi Cycle Top
A Bitcoin cycle-top price model comparing the 111-day moving average with twice the 350-day moving average.
Convergence of fast and slow averages
The model looks for the 111-day Bitcoin price average to reach twice the 350-day average. Historical crossovers occurred near major cycle tops.
Pi Cycle Top formula
111DMA ÷ (2 × 350DMA)LOOK CRYPTO calculates both averages from Binance BTCUSDT daily closes. A 100% reading means the lines have crossed.
Distance to the crossover
- < 90%The lines remain far from the historical top signal.
- 90–100%The averages are close and cycle-top risk is elevated.
- ≥ 100%111DMA has reached or crossed 2 × 350DMA.
Watch progress and confirmation
Pi Cycle is a lagging price model. It is most useful when convergence coincides with high MVRV and NUPL, old-coin distribution and weaker demand.
Past matches do not guarantee the next one
The model aligned with several historical tops, but the sample is small and Bitcoin's market structure changes. A crossover is not an automatic sell order.
This material is for market research and is not investment advice.